New Portfolio

Uncategorized May 26, 2022

Below is our new portfolio with approximate pricing based on Thursday's close.

We will re-enter the markets at 12:00 noon tomorrow (Friday).

    Thu close -12.5% +10%
EGLE Eagle Bulk Shipping 71.05 62.17 78.16
BCC Boise Cascade 80.31 70.27 88.34
MRK Merck & Co. 92.31 80.77 101.54
REGN Regeneron Pharma 683.44 598.01 751.78
MUSA Murphy USA 249.22 218.07 274.14
CSL  Carlisle Cos 251.00 219.63 276.10
VRTX Vertex Pharma 269.65 235.94 296.62
PXD Pioneer Natural Resources 279.99 244.99 307.99
PFE Pfizer Inc. 53.99 47.24 59.39
ATKR Atkore Inc. 103.98 90.98 114.38

As always we will distribute final pricing together with upside and downside stops late tomorrow.

Stay tuned and good luck.

Please don't hesitate to contact me with any questions.

Duncan Campbell

[email protected]

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Green Market

Uncategorized May 26, 2022

Today, on rally day 4, the markets performed with impressive gains and required volume.

The result was that the markets were reclassified to Green - Confirmed Uptrend, which is our signal to re-enter.

We are currently working on our next portfolio picks for a noon re-entry tomorrow (Thursday).

Stay tuned.

Duncan Campbell

[email protected] 

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Sell Portfolio +3.20%

Uncategorized May 23, 2022

 

Last Friday was an unusual day in the markets. Both the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq undercut their previous lows which caused a reclassification in the markets back to Red - Market in Correction.

Normally we would exit a Red market. However, our portfolio vastly out performed the market indexes Friday, advancing 0.77% while the indexes collapsed. Because of this performance, we delayed our exit and were rewarded as the portfolio advanced another 1.9% on the day.

Having broken through our portfolio sell test of +2.5% or better, we sold our portfolio +3.20%. If you haven't already done so, we recommend that you follow suit ASAP.

Sell Portfolio  +3.20%

Since the market is technically Red, we will not re-enter until it turns Green.

Please stay tuned.

Duncan Campbell

[email protected]

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Sell ARCH +10%

Uncategorized May 19, 2022



This morning as the markets recovered, Archer Industries (ARCH) recovered from yesterday's drop and broke through our upside stop.

As a result we sold ARCH at +10%.

Sell ARCH  $73.31  +10%

As always, let me know if you have any questions.

Duncan Campbell

[email protected]

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New Portfolio

Uncategorized May 18, 2022

Below is our new portfolio with approximate pricing based on Tuesday's close.

We will re-enter the market at 12:00 noon tomorrow (Wednesday).

    Tue close -12.5% +10%
ANTM Anthem Inc. 497.19 435.04 546.91
CRK Comstoke Resources 16.68 14.60 18.35
CSL Carlisle COS 257.61 225.41 283.37
MUSA Murphy USA 261.69 228.98 287.86
ARCH Arch Resources 163.85 143.37 180.24
MLI Mueller Industries 54.04 47.29 59.44
AZN Astrazeneca PLC 65.64 57.44 72.20
MATX Matson Inc. 91.64 80.19 100.80
REXR Rexford Industrial 66.55 58.23 73.21
CVE Cenovus Energy 21.06 18.43 23.17

As always, we will distribute final pricing together with upside and downside stops Wednesday afternoon.

Good luck and stay tuned,

Duncan Campbell

[email protected]

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Green Market - New Portfolio Shortly

Uncategorized May 18, 2022

Today, on the 4th day into the most recent market rally, we got our institutional buy-in day (aka follow through day) which was enough to reclassify the market to Green - Confirmed Uptrend.

In the process, the S&P 500 index advanced 2.0% while the Nasdaq advanced 2.8%. Both indexes saw volume increases from the prior day.

The Green market classification means that we can re-enter ASAP. We have been working on our next portfolio selections and will distribute those by email alert shortly.

We have set our buy-in time at 12:00 noon EDT tomorrow.

Stay tuned

Duncan Campbell

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Market Update (yet again)

Uncategorized May 15, 2022

Hello members,

Here's yet another update on the volatile markets that we currently are dealing with.

First, no, we are not ready to re-enter the market. I've been asked this question a lot so this post will explain a bit more of the "why not".

So, why not re-enter the market? I mean Friday saw the Nasdaq jump 3.8% and the S&P 500 (NYSE) jump 2.4%. Some of you have correctly pointed out that these increases are 2x to 3x the increase that we look for in our all important elements that we look for in our big institutional buying day - aka. follow-through day. Others have added that they are concerned that we may miss the bottom of this correction. These are all valid questions. One of our goals at IES is to make all of you better, more profitable traders. For that reason, I'm going to answer these and other questions individually. I apologize in advance to those who already know the answers!

Friday's BIG jump - Why not re-enter?

Yes, Friday's index gains were impressive! BUT,...

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Market Update

Uncategorized May 09, 2022

Another week has gone by and that's another week that we are soooo glad we are on the sidelines. We exited this market back on April 18th. Since then, Nasdaq has lost 1,699 points or 13% of its value.

At the beginning of last week there was hope. Monday had given us hope. After a terrible week prior, Monday saw the S&P 500 up .6% and the Nasdaq up 1.6%. Maybe we were finally into a convincing rally.

Tuesday and Wednesday fueled that hope. Small gains Tuesday followed by big gains on Wednesday. We hadn't undercut our low of Friday April 29th so the rally was still alive. All we needed was a final follow-through day advance on higher volume and we'd have a Green market once again.

But our hope was short-lived. Since Wednesday we've seen three days of big declines and we undercut our prior low on both Friday and Monday (today). So we are back to square one - looking for a convincing rally that will signal a re-entry point for this market.

For the benefit of the new members, here's...

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Market Update

Uncategorized Apr 30, 2022

This week's market action can best be described as "going from bad to worse".

Monday, after early declines, both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq rallied late. But Tuesday both indexes slumped and undercut the lows established Monday. The rally day count had to be reset to zero days.

Wednesday was better but again, a potential rally petered out and undercut Tuesday's low. Again, the rally day count was reset.

Thursday the markets rallied and ended the day up approximately 3%. But Friday the indexes gave all their ground back with the S&P 500 dropping 3.6% and Nasdaq dropping 4.2%.

At weeks end we'd again undercut our previous low and reset the rally day count to zero.

How bad is this market? Consider this:

  • Nasdaq now sits at its lowest level since March 2021. Its level of 12,335 is now 24% below its high water mark of last November.
  • The S&P 500 sits at its lowest level since May 2021. Its index value of 4,132 is 14% off its high of last January.

Needless to say, we are very...

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Market Update

Uncategorized Apr 24, 2022

Friday was not a good day for the markets. With a half point increase in interest rates announced by the Fed the markets tanked. The NYSE (S&P 500) ended the day down 2.8% while the Nasdaq was off 2.6%. Both of these are huge one day drops.

Declining stocks out numbered the advancers by a 7 - 1 ratio on the S&P while the Nasdaq decliners held that ratio to 3 - 1.

All this negative action tipped the scales and turned our market classification to Red - Market in Correction.

We were previously concerned over the high level of institutional selling days which stood at 6 days for each index. As you will remember, we exit a market when this count reaches 7 days. When we fall into a Red market the institutional selling day counts are erased. We will start to count again when markets return to Green.

We now face a new challenge - market reentry. To reenter from a Red market we will need to see two things:

  •  a convincing rally of 4 to 5 days where market indexes do not fall...
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